I predict Kamala Harris will win the presidential election.*
My amateur reasoning here is based on a combination of the gender gap and the education gap. I think women are more motivated to vote for Harris (and against Trump) than men are motivated to vote for Trump. And I think there will be sufficient college-educated suburban men in the "blue-wall states" of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania who will vote for Harris to put her over the top in at least one of those states.
I also predict Republicans will end up with a 51-49 majority in the Senate. My entirely conventional expectation is that Republicans will pick up two seats, in West Virginia and Montana. I also predict John Thune will become the new Senate Majority leader.
And just to keep things interesting: I'll also predict that Democrats will flip the House of Representatives. I don't have any particular reason for thinking this.
What outcomes do you expect?
*I was going to add "...on Tuesday" to that sentence, but in fact with early voting the election already is underway, and it's quite possible that when we wake up Wednesday morning, we won't know yet for certain who won.
