Thursday, February 5, 2026

Are Robots an Alternative to Immigration?

DEMOGRAPHIC IMBALANC IN ADVANCED ECONOMIES

Most advanced economies increasing have an elderly population because they are not reproducing sufficiently to maintain or expand their population without immigration. 

For the USA which has much land and resources, immigration is most natural way to continue to have a young workface to keep the economy expanding and support aging baby boomers. 

(Actually, those over sixty, IF THEY WERE WELL ORGANIZED AND FOCUSED, could probably support all those over sixty who need it as I have argued elsewhere).

Another option is to use robots and AI to minimize the number of people needed in the work force. 


by Tristan Gaudiaut,
 Feb 3, 2026
During Tesla's latest results presentation, CEO Elon Musk confirmed that the electric car company will discontinue its Model S and Model X in Q2 2026. The decision comes amid weakening demand at the top end of Tesla’s range. Our infographic based on Tesla figures shows that deliveries of the Model S, Model X and Cybertruck fell 40 percent year-on-year in 2025. Tesla still sells far more of its mass-market staples, the Model 3 and Model Y, but even those weren’t immune, posting a 7 percent global decline versus 2024, while the brand's appeal has fallen particularly sharply in Europe.

Since 2023, Tesla has stopped reporting Model S/X deliveries separately, bundling them with the Cybertruck and the Semi under the label “Other Models.” That opacity has pushed analysts and media outlets toward rough triangulation. Cox Automotive estimates global Cybertruck sales at just under 39,000 units in 2024, sliding to roughly 20,000-20,200 in 2025. On that basis, the Cybertruck likely accounted for about 45-50 percent of “Other Models” in 2024 and around 40 percent in 2025, with the remainder split between the Model S/X and a small number of Semi trucks.

What Tesla plans to do with the freed-up production capacity is quite striking. Musk says the Fremont (California) production lines currently used for the Model S/X will be replaced by a facility intended to build Optimus, Tesla’s humanoid robot, part of an ambition to produce up to one million robots per year. Musk first unveiled Optimus at Tesla AI Day 2021, pitching it as a machine designed to take over physically demanding, repetitive, or dangerous tasks - starting in factories and, later, in homes. Yet the project is not fully living up to its hype: Musk has recently acknowledged that Optimus has not reached the promised productivity and is currently operating at about half the speed of a human.

Still, investor appetite suggests the broader humanoid-robotics bet is accelerating. In 2025, funding for humanoid robot startups reached $2.65 billion, more than the total invested from 2018 through 2024 combined. The message from capital markets is clear: humanoid robotics is shifting from a cautious experiment to a technology investors increasingly view as commercially ready.


Infographic: Tesla Dumps Some Car Models To Make Room for Robots | Statista You will find more infographics at Statista



by Tristan Gaudiaut,
Feb 3, 2026
The market for humanoid robots has been growing significantly recently. In 2025, $2.65 billion was invested in humanoid robotics startups, more than in the years 2018 to 2024 combined, according to data published by the market research platform Tracxn. This development indicates that investors now view humanoid robotics as a more mature and commercially attractive technology.

China currently leads the field with 23 startups specialized in humanoid robotics, just ahead of the 22 U.S.-based companies. While China and the United States are the clear epicenters for humanoid-robotics entrepreneurship, a second tier is led by India (12), ahead of several European countries: the U.K. (6) and Germany (5) stand out, followed by France (3). Beyond these hubs, our chart also shows clusters in Australia (3), Japan (3), Austria (2) and Canada (2), suggesting that while interest is global, the densest startup ecosystems remain concentrated in a handful of markets.

The Chinese and American startup ecosystem is particularly notable in this field. Chinese companies such as Unitree Robotics and Agibot are currently producing more humanoid robot models than any other country in the world (more than 5,000 each in 2025), while some of the best-known U.S. names, like Boston Dynamics and Tesla, are aiming to ramp up their production of robots for industrial and consumer applications in 2026 (Atlas and Optimus, respectively). In Europe, current key players include Engineered Arts (U.K.) and Neura Robotics (Germany).


Infographic: Where Humanoid Robot Startups Are Taking Off | Statista You will find more infographics at Statista



China's industrial robotics sector has surged ahead in recent years, cementing its position as the global leader in both the installation and operational stock of industrial robots. According to the latest World Robotics report published by the International Federation of Robotics, China accounted for 54 percent of all new robot installations worldwide in 2024, with a record of 295,000 units installed. As our chart shows, this represents more than double the number installed by Japan, the United States, South Korea and Germany combined (almost 140,000 installations together), which are the other four robotic powers in the world.

This brings China's operational stock of industrial robots to over 2 million, representing nearly half of the global stock (4.66 million units in 2024). Compared to the second in the ranking, Japan (around 450,000 units in 2024), the Chinese industry now has more than four times as many robots.

The country's rapid adoption of automation is driven by ambitious state-backed initiatives, such as "Made in China 2025", launched a decade ago and constituting the cornerstone of its massive investment in robotics. In 2023, China reached the third rank in industrial robot density, with 470 operational robots per 10,000 employees, surpassing both Germany and Japan. Only Singapore and South Korea remained ahead (700 to 1,000 robots per 10,000 employees).

Furthermore, if Japan remains the largest manufacturer of industrial robots, according to IRF, accounting for 38 percent of global production in 2024, China is gradually gaining ground. For example, Chinese manufacturers have almost doubled their domestic market share over the last decade, now supplying nearly 60 percent of the robots installed in the country, compared to just under 30 percent ten years ago.



Infographic: China's Robotics Boom Leaves All Other Nations Behind | Statista You will find more infographics at Statista



by Tristan Gaudiaut,
Feb 3, 2026
While robots continue to transform global manufacturing, handling tasks - such as picking, placing and moving materials - remain by far the leading industrial automation application. According to estimates from Statista Market Insights, this segment accounted for over half (51 percent) of all industrial uses worldwide in 2024. In comparison, that same year, the two other more popular applications: welding (15 percent) and assembling (10 percent), were together roughly half as prominent. This distribution underscores the ongoing automation of repetitive, labor-intensive processes, especially in sectors like automotive, logistics and electronics. Among the other industrial robot applications on the rise, we can also mention room cleaning, which accounted for around 5 percent of global uses in 2024.


Infographic: Pick, Place, Repeat: Handling Tops Industrial Robot Tasks | Statista You will find more infographics at Statista

Remigration - new far right buzzword

This article is in The Economist. It describes the spreading concept of remigration, increasingly being embraced by the far right movement in Europe and now in the United States. Thoughts? Is this where we’re headed?

Monday, January 26, 2026

Free to respond

This is my homily for yesterday, the 3rd Sunday in Ordinary Time, Cycle A.  Yesterday's readings are here.

Saturday, January 24, 2026

Another shooting

 Apparently, a licensed male nurse in Minneapolis was taken to the ground by three ICE agents, then shot to death with around ten shots.  I can’t see how anyone can’t see what is happening here.  The government won’t stop this, none of the three branches.  The Democrats are a joke.  ICE must disappear but that won’t happen.  Trump is enjoying all this chaos.  But we are on our own.  All the political processes that could bring us back are enclosed.  The opposition party are nothingburgers.  I could continue with many points showing why this ICE incursion is political violence but I really am tired of wasting my time.

Friday, January 23, 2026

What I look like

Nellie Bowles, a journalist who is married to Bari Weiss, now famous (notorious?) as the head of CBS News, writes a humorous current-events column called TGIF each Friday for The Free Press.  Here is an example of her humor - this is from today's column:

"An Aging Boom for Catholicism" by John Allen

 Back in February 2007 when he was still writing for the National Catholic Reporter, John Allen wrote a great article:

More Catholics on the way 

They're likely to be gray-haired, healthy and rich


That article is no longer available on the NCR website, but I have a copy since I thought it was so important that I distributed it to our parish Pastoral Council (I was a member then). There was a positive reaction to the article, and the pastor did say that we should eventually get around to doing something about the growing elderly population. However, his thinking was more problem than asset driven. 

The parish is very youth oriented with a vibrant parish grade school, and pre-school. Unfortunately, they could not see how my vision of how a vibrant parish retirement community would be the perfect complement to its young educational focus. The pastor recently retired without any thing much being done for the elderly even though he had a long struggle with illness before retiring at age 75. 

John Allen, however, has not given up on his vision of an "Aging Bloom for Catholicism." He recently reviewed a Pope Leo address on the matter.

In my LAKE COUNTY WEAL BLOG, I have written about all this in a post


 You might want to read my WEAL post for its summary of the NCR 2007 article but you will definitely want to read the entire recent CRUX article, not just my summary. IT IS NOT BEHIND A PAYWALL. YES, YOU WILL BE INVITED BUT NOT REQUIRED TO REGISTER AND CONTRIBUTE.



You might also want to read Pope Leo's original address to see how John Allen has connected all the dots of information there into the "home run" address the Leo should have made (John loved baseball analogies);


John excuses the lack of a home run with words like "hinting" and he notes the limits of a 900-word address. A comparison of the two shows how John makes his subject look good while excusing his faults.  

In both articles Allen uses positive language about the elderly without laying the blame of a refusal to recognize their talents upon our prejudices against them that are just as blame worthy as those against women and racial minorities.  

We are very likely to see the elderly as problems rather than assets with time, talents and treasure to solve our problems.  Recently Lake County produced a study on its elderly, i.e. those over age sixty. The data in the study made clear to me that we healthy age sixty plus have all the resources to solve the problems of those who are over age sixty, probably with time, talent and treasure to take up some other county problems. 

Thursday, January 22, 2026

RIP John Allen [Updated 1/23/2026]

Update 1/23/2026: I corrected a broken link to the first obituary link below (h/t Anne), which was from Catholic News Agency - now apparently owned by EWTN.  And I added a new link to America Magazine's obituary, which may be the best of the bunch.

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I was dismayed to learn this afternoon that John Allen Jr., the noted "Catholic beat" journalist, has died of cancer.  He was only 61 years old.

Allen had been National Catholic Reporter's Rome correspondent during the pontificates of John Paul II and Benedict XVI.  He was then hired by the Boston Globe for its new Catholic outlet, Crux.  A couple of years later, the Globe transferred Crux to the staff; Allen served as its editor.

As obituary here.  Colleen Dulle's obituary in America here.  And a nice remembrance here.

I hope he and Tom are trading war stories in heaven.