Monday, November 11, 2019

How do I know? My Twitter tells me so

 
 The open hearings on impeachment start this week, and you don’t have to look very far to find an expert, solon or moosehead to tell you everybody’s mind is made up already. Contrarians are keeping a low profile. Maybe they don’t want to be primaried.
   The Times’s story on the Kentucky election today may tell us more than the experts, solons and mooseheads about what to look forward to in 2020.
  In the former tobacco commonwealth last week, the Democratic candidate for governor apparently beat the incumbent, Matt Bevin, by 5,000-plus votes. Nevertheless, Bevin demanded a recanvass (which is less than a recount). The history of recanvasses is: You still lose. Nevertheless, after the recanvass, Gov. Bevin can “contest” the election, which sends the race to the legislature. Where there is a supermajority of Republicans.
 Quoth Gov. Bevin: "What we know is that there really are a number of significant irregularities."


 Whence comes “what we know”? Times reporters wondered. Gov. Bevin’s campaign isn’t saying.
 So here is what the Times found: The big bang was a tweet from Overlordkranken1, who claimed to be writing from Louisville, but misspelled it. He has 19 “followers.” He said he had “shredded a box of Republican write-in ballots.”
 Twitter took down Overlordkranken1’s tweet, but screen-shots already existed, and so it was re-tweeted by more than 3,800 accounts, most of which appear, by their behavior, to be bots. And the re-tweets were re-tweeted, so now So now the action/confession of Overlordkranken1 is a fact, or at least suggestive that something was wrong with the Kentucky election and needs to be investigated.
  The only known, living non-bot authority for that is (I guess we had better resign ourselves to calling him)  Governor Bevin.
  Just think of what’s coming 2020.

5 comments:

  1. Yes, great point re: the possibility of bots, lies and other 2020 chicanery and dirty tricks.

    I haven't followed the Kentucky saga very closely, and I'll need to read the NY Times piece. My take on a 5,000-vote margin is that it's probably a very narrow percentage of overall votes but his campaign would be very hard-pressed to find 5,001 votes that flip into his column.

    Btw, this is why I have no patience for the kvetching from Stacey Abrams in Georgia last year. Her losing margin was 11 times that amount. At some point, she needs to acknowledge that the other guy got more votes. She has some responsibility not to unduly undermine confidence in the democratic process.

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  2. What I read about the Kentucky election (which isn't much) is that the dissatisfaction with Bevins was about local stuff and not national Trump politics, so it would be a mistake to read too much into the results.
    About "bots, lies, and dirty tricks", definitely not looking forward to 2020

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    1. Gen. Bonespur himself established the goal posts by going to Kentucky the night before the election, standing with Bevin before a sea of MAGA hats and telling him: ""If you lose, they're going to say Trump suffered the greatest defeat in the history of the world. This was the greatest. You can't let that happen to me!"

      So it happened to him.

      Bevin was not the best candidate Kentucky ever had. (I covered Happy Chandler when he was retired but still had it.) Bevin complained that the nation was going "soft" when they cancelled school on a day when the wind chill was minus 20. A lot of Republicans had no use for him. They now are saying it was only in honor of Trump that Bevin came so close. MAGA, even if you have to wreck the state.

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  3. And speaking of the impeachment hearings, the Republican self styled experts, solons, and mooseheads (I'm looking at you, Cal Thomas) are declaring that it's all about cancelling out the 2016 election. Except that it's now 2019, and Pence would be president if Trump were impeached or resigned, not HRC. And the whole Ukraine thing was about kneecapping Biden ahead of the 2020 election. But Cal doesn't let facts get in the way of his ideology. For about 5 minutes he was shocked, shocked by the dishonor of the situation. But he must have taken an aspirin and it went away. I don't usually read Cal Thomas but once in awhile I do. Bad way to start a morning.

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