Wednesday, November 12, 2025

The End to the Shutdown

 Heather Cox Richardson has a good article on the measure to end the government shutdown, which at 41+ days is the longest in US history: November 10, 2025 - by Heather Cox Richardson

Online a lot of people have excoriated Chuck Schumer and the seven Senate Democrats and one Independent who voted to advance a measure to end the shutdown; saying that they caved, and that they are sellouts.  I am not on that bandwagon. The shutdown is going to end because it is not sustainable. The ones who voted to advance the measure are providing an off-ramp.  It is not a coincidence that none of the eight are facing re-election in the immediate future, and two of them are retiring.

Heather Cox Richardson has this to say; "News of the terms of the deal to end the shutdown hit the country rather like a cue ball hitting a rack: lots of balls started to move in wildly different directions."

From the article:

"Seven Democrats and one Independent voted with all but one Republican to advance a measure that funds the government through January 30 of next year. It includes funding for military construction and the Department of Veterans’ Affairs, the Department of Agriculture and the Food and Drug Administration, and operations for the legislative branch, or Congress....The measure stops the administration’s firings of public employees during the shutdown, reinstating them with full pay. States will be reimbursed for monies they spent covering for federal shortfalls during the shutdown. This means air traffic controllers, who have been working without pay for more than a month, will get paid again."

"The measure also funds the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), although it does not restore the cuts Republicans made to it in their budget reconciliation bill of July—the one they call the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act.”

"While the measure provides more funding for Indigenous health services, it does nothing to extend the premium tax credits for insurance purchased on the Affordable Care Act healthcare marketplace. Without those credits, millions will lose their healthcare insurance and millions more will face skyrocketing premiums.... Senate majority leader John Thune (R-SD) has promised to bring to the Senate floor a bill to extend the premium tax credits before the end of the second week of December. It will be written by the Democrats."

"...If Trump signs the measure into law, the 42 million Americans who rely on SNAP payments will get relief. The two million federal workers who need paychecks will get them, and airlines should eventually get back to business as usual. These are no small things: aside from the individual human cost of the shutdown, the undermining of the federal government threatened to destroy it, and the administration’s cuts to air traffic were hitting cargo planes, adding yet another blow to the weakening economy just before the busiest shopping season of the year.

"As Dan Drezner noted in his Drezner’s World, Trump’s behavior during the shutdown made it clear he simply didn’t care how badly Americans got hurt. “He did not just refuse to negotiate,” Drezner noted. “During the shutdown month he also completely bulldozed the East Wing, cut SNAP benefits, witnessed producers passing on the cost of tariffs to consumers, announced curbs on air travel, and participated in a Great Gatsby–style party at Mar-a-Lago. Voters hated this, but Trump didn’t appear to care. Indeed, his administration was working to ratchet up the pain of lost SNAP payments and canceled flights, including not just passenger planes but cargo planes right before the shopping season in which many businesses make the income that keeps them afloat for the year. In the senators’ statements about why they voted with the Republicans, Drezner noted a pattern: the words “pain” and “hurt.”

"President Donald J. Trump did not want the shutdown to end this way. He was trying to use the pain he was inflicting on the American people to force Republican senators to end the filibuster and pass a series of measures that would essentially have made him a dictator. The Republican senators were clear they didn’t want to do that. And now, they haven’t. They chose a way out of the shutdown fight that did not support Trump’s ambitions. After nine months in which they appeared to do his bidding, that’s an interesting development....Trump does not appear to be giving up his position on hurting the country easily. Late last night, three judges from the First Circuit refused to stop the lower court order saying that the administration must pay SNAP benefits in full, and today, the administration went back to the Supreme Court to ask it to freeze those payments."

Trump also posted an attack on air traffic controllers, saying to those who took time off during the shutdown “I am NOT HAPPY WITH YOU. You didn’t step up to help the U.S.A. against the FAKE DEMOCRAT ATTACK that was only meant to hurt our Country. You will have a negative mark, at least in my mind, against your record. If you want to leave service in the near future, please do not hesitate to do so, with NO payment or severance of any kind! You will be quickly replaced by true Patriots, who will do a better job….” In fact, the country has a shortage of air traffic controllers."

"Trump called Democrats “the enemy” today, but told reporters he would abide by the deal, saying that “they haven’t changed anything.” But they have.And that’s yet another moving ball. If the Senate passes its measure and sends it to the House, Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) will have to bring the House into session to conduct work. He has had the chamber on hiatus since September 19, 2025, when the Republicans passed a continuing resolution that offered the Democrats nothing, and has kept members out of Washington, D.C., ever since....Bringing the House back into session will require Johnson to swear in Representative-elect Adelita Grijalva (D-AZ). Erum Salam of MSNBC reported that Johnson told Republicans on a conference call today that the “first order of business will be to administer the oath to Grijalva.” Grijalva says she will be the final signer on the discharge petition that will force a House vote on releasing the Epstein files. Johnson and administration officials have worked hard to keep those files under wraps, especially since news broke that Trump is mentioned in them."

My opinion is that the shutdown and resultant harm is on Trump, not on the eight Senators who voted to advance the measure. By holding out for the perfect deal to happen, people are playing circular firing squad.  When we have a president that has proven that he does not give one damn about the people who are being harmed, the options are limited.


21 comments:

  1. I'm waffling on whether the Dems should have caved. I can see both sides.

    Part of the overall problem is that Trump has appointed and Republicans have elected such a repellent cast of characters to run Congress and the executive that it's hard not to let your spleen take over. Every time Stephen Miller starts yapping, my brain shuts down and I start wondering where I put that baseball bat. They do it on purpose to keep people stirred up.

    I don't see how ACA subsidies can be saved no matter what Democrats do. But Republicans will have to own that when it's debated in December. Then they can reap whatever backlash there is in next year's elections.

    Meantime, Trump will continue to suck all the oxygen out of the room, and we'll soon be onto something else, like whatever is brewing with those ships off Venezuela. Rubio says regime change is essential to human rights there, others say it's needed to staunch immigration up here, Trump says its about stopping dope cartels. I think its probably about oil.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. "I think it's probably about oil." I think you're right. The irony is that the rest of the world is moving towards renewables.

      Delete
    2. Trump wants fossil fuels because those companies pumped megadollars into his election campaign. I don't think he's making any attempt to hide the fact that those who pay the most tribute get the most favors.

      Like Caroline Leavitt says, Trump is the most transparent president ever. Politics is always transactional and full of some dicey tradeoffs. But this time the grift is right out in the open.

      staunch = stanch immigration in previous comment

      Delete
  2. The Democrats won several races in the past election WHILE the shutdown was in effect. One could say they got what they wanted and can now back down. I'm tempted to use the term DACO, democrats always chicken out. But it just shows how little leverage ordinary politics has now. I don't think the Democrats can save us from Trump. Will there be a free election? if so, which I doubt, will the Democrats win? If the Democrats win, will they reward us with the usual thin gruel? I don't think anything will change until we realize we're up against a horde of slobbering barbarians. You can't nice these people to death. They are sociopathic. So it will have to be people in the streets, civil disobedience, general strike. A real democratic shutdown. But I find the US public to be pretty docile, maybe the most docile, domesticated people on earth.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. A mob can be effective at getting people's attention. Not sure how smart it is once it has thrown off the yoke of oppression. See France, 1789.

      Delete
    2. How am I talking about a mob? Was the Velvet Revolution a mob? Or Solidarność? What I left out, I guess, was organization, perhaps the most important thing and another thing lacking in our population. Do we even have the ability anymore to organize to any higher level than a rock concert?

      Delete
    3. I don't think Americans have the ability to organize any concerted, sustained effort on a national scale. The country is too big and too diverse.

      And as public education erodes, imparting consistent cultural values (universal franchise, equal treatment under the law, the Bill of Rights, etc) becomes harder. Americans are pretty much united only by the NFL, FaceBook and Amazon, and by fuzzy ideas about their right to own phones, guns, and cars.

      In the days when I had to travel for work, it was clear to me that you didn't have to go much further than Cairo, Illinois, or Moundsville, West Virginia, to be in a foreign country.

      Delete
    4. Then even the country is just an empire holding various peoples together by power alone. If that is the case, then maybe balkanization is called for. Not sure what that would do to my pension. Probably nothing good. If we’re the disunited states, then be done with it.

      Delete
    5. I would add that regions of Germany are more diverse than we are. Northern Germans wouldn’t be caught dead in lederhosen. Germany was brought together in large part by perks like medical insurance coverage. Yet their differences are like ours, political. I have less in common with MAGAs here in PA than with a socialist in Michigan, if you have any.

      Delete
    6. Balkanization is inevitable, IMO. I hope it can occur gradually and peacefully as people migrate to their preferred regional tribes.

      The Boy recently returned from a week in Portland, Oregon, where he met IRL with kids he's done freelance work with remotely. Those are his peeps out there: damp, sun-deprived, coffee-obsessed, tech-artsy dilettantes. He's coming over to tell us all about it today.

      It would break my heart to see him move away, but I'm encouraging it anyway. There's nothing here for him. We are an elderly, low-income state, the most segregated in the nation by some measures, with crumbling infrastructure and little to no cultural life.

      Life is too short to be miserable. I didn't raise him to be my old age care policy.

      Delete
    7. How are you going to balkanize when all states have rural and urban areas, and red and blue parts? Even the red ones have pockets of different kind of reds, same with blues. People can find regions they like better than others, but that's different from being in different countries.

      Delete
    8. I would love to Balkanize. The closest we could come was a meme map showing Canada blue, going down the three Pacific coast states, then down the US/ Canada northern border in some states like Wisconsin, Minnesota etc, east to New England states on the border. It said that unfortunately Colorado and NM couldn’t easily be annexed by Canada but I think the Atlantic seaboard as far south as MD maybe. I will try to find it.

      Delete
    9. I'm not gonna Balkanize. I just think it will happen. I don't see where Americans want to pull together any more.

      If Trump goes down, it won't be because "my side" made a compelling case for Beauty, Truth, and Liberty that persuaded a thoughtful electorate.

      It'll be because his own people got freaked out about Epstein and the "perverts" they think are drinking baby blood. Or because he made people lose too much money.

      Delete
    10. New map of US and Canada

      https://www.reddit.com/r/PeterExplainsTheJoke/comments/1go5dm2/peter/

      Delete
    11. Sorta solves the problem. Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba would go with the US. Quebec and maybe upper New England would want to separate. At least part of Michigan would go with Canada.

      Delete
    12. I'd love to join Canada but if they annexed all those US states, they'd be outnumbered by us. I'd be afraid of us, too. 20 years ago, a coworker of mine wanted to retire to Canada. They wouldn't let him even though he had medical insurance. At the moment, I don't know how all this instability will play out. Even the bad guys aren't prescient. The only sure thing is Climate Change which seems to be occurring faster than even the climatologists predicted. But the craziness of people is beyond calculation.

      Delete
  3. As a BTW to my fellow biological entities, I went to the urgent care thinking I had strep throat but it turns out I finally got COVID. Symptoms were a severe, sore throat on my left side, some congestion, no fever. I felt lethargic a few hours last night but I feel much better today. Unless it bounces back, it means the whole thing lasted two days at its worst. Just to let you all know what’s goin’ ‘round.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Glad you didn't get real sick!

      Delete
    2. Praying that it's on the way out! If it hangs around or gets worse, you can get Paxlovid but it has to be within five days of getting sick in order to work.

      Delete
    3. Just the regular honey and tea, gargling with salt water to relieve the sore throat. I think I'm ok. I would have thought it was a mild cold or virus if I hadn't been tested. I ordered a couple home tests to check my status. Only thing that concerns me is I was in close quarters the previous day with someone helping them fix a toilet but I alerted all parties.
      Hopefully it stops with me.

      Delete