Monday, October 31, 2022

Stochastic Violence

Stochastic violence is a term which has been in the news lately. 

Dictionary.com has this to say about stochastic violence:

Stochastic terrorism is “the public demonization of a person or group resulting in the incitement of a violent act, which is statistically probable but whose specifics cannot be predicted.”

It is discussed by Juliette Kayyem, who is a former assistant secretary at the Department of Homeland Security and faculty chair of the homeland security program at Harvard University's Kennedy School of Government, in an article in the Washington Post: (Opinion | Juliette Kayyem: There are no lone wolves - The Washington Post)

"Public speech that may incite violence, even without that specific intent, has been given a name: stochastic terrorism, for a pattern that can’t be predicted precisely but can be analyzed statistically. It is the demonization of groups through mass media and other propaganda that can result in a violent act because listeners interpret it as promoting targeted violence — terrorism. And the language is vague enough that it leaves room for plausible deniability and outraged, how-could-you-say-that attacks on critics of the rhetoric."

The latest example of stochastic violence is, of course, the attack on Paul Pelosi, the husband of Nancy Pelosi.

And if the attack itself weren't enough, we had the tweet by new Twitter owner Elon Musk.

Charlie Sykes of the Bulwark had this to say An Attack, a Viral Lie, and Elon's Inferno (thebulwark.com) 

"For a brief moment, we wondered: how would Elon Musk react to the cataract of hate and defamation? Would he condemn it? Block it? Rethink his approach to content moderation?  Surely, you jest.The sh*tposting billionaire jumped into the sh*tposting himself, pushing the conspiracy theories to millions of his new customers.

“There’s a tiny possibility,” he wrote, “there is more to this story than meets the eye” — and linked to “an article that is a compilation of tweets from random Twitter users claiming that Paul Pelosi brought home a left wing male prostitute after the bars closed and that there's a conspiracy to cover it up.”

"Musk’s tweet was eventually removed (censored!?!!!!), but not before it was retweeted and liked tens of thousands of times."

"So, on his very first weekend of being Chief Twit, Musk helped launched a toxic conspiracy theory that will now take on a life of its own."

37 comments:

  1. Ugh. Musk is a provocateur like Julian Assange, who wraps himself in claims about "free speech" as a cover for sowing the mayhem he seems to crave.

    I hope more advertisers follow in GM's footsteps, suspending advertising until they see where Musk is going. He gets 89 percent of his revenue from adverts, so a suspension of a few corporate accounts could jerk his chain. The EU also has some stringent rules against misinfo and hate speech, and losing that mkt could be a problem for him.

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    1. I exited Twitter a while ago. It seems to have the power to evoke stupid statements even from intelligent people. What got to me were climate scientists becoming attached to the Democratic Party because they are more amenable to climate reform and starting to defend their stupid stuff as well. I believe they, like clergy, should not become members of any party, especially the present two duopoly parties.

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  2. Musk has been an undisciplined and irresponsible tweeter for years. He has gotten himself in hot water with the Securities and Exchange Commission more than once for tweets which have moved markets and have turned out to have no basis in fact.

    I saw headlines within the last day or two that Musk has fired the Twitter board of directors and has declared himself sole director - a title with possible Orwellian overtones, if one is inclined to think along those lines. That, along with his gutting (and, apparently, planned additional gutting) of Twitter's executive suite, bodes ill for a rational and defensible policy of content moderation on Twitter.

    Our current situation feels like the entire planet has slipped its moorings and is careening toward a black hole. It feels like someone has slipped crazy juice into the world's Red Bull supply, such that the movers, shakers and public figures are by turns going dumb, berserk and insane.

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    1. I share your fears.

      Elon Musk has talked fairly openly about his mental health issues, warning people away from medically accepted therapies (often bad enough in themselves) and doung interviews while freelance medicating with various psychedelics.

      He's already crazied up, enjoys chaos and drama nearly as much as Trump, and the fact that he is the world's richest person in charge of one of the largest social media platforms makes him extremely dangerous.

      My hope is that he will run Twitter into bankruptcy and oblivion before the 2024 presidential election.

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    2. My one comfort about Elon Musk is that he can't run for president, having been born in South Africa, and neither of his parents were American citizens.
      I was once taken to task for referring to Twitter as an instrument of the devil. I said it semi tongue-in-cheek, and it is true that it can be used for good by journalists, reporters, etc. Like all Catholic kids I was warned away from ouija boards and tarot cards and the like, and have never messed with those things. But I actually think media like Twitter can channel our dark side the same or worse than those things.

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    3. Bloomberg financial columnist (and humorist) Matt Levine has been printing poems about Musk's takeover of Twitter. Here's one:

      "...from “Billionaire in a Midlife Crisis” by Brian Bilston:

      He’s swapped designer jeans and flashy cars
      For designer spacesuits and trips to Mars
      Where he watches Earth turn on its axis
      And its stupid people paying taxes
      He’s indulging all his whims and vices
      He’s a billionaire in a midlife crisis"

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    4. Musk advanced the use of electric cars with the help of federal tax credits. That advantage has gone away. Just about every car company is making electric cars now and good ones. If he wants to stay competitive, he'd best concentrate on that. I had a Tesla on order but canceled. Besides the delays in expected delivery date, another factor was worries about Tesla's longevity and support given the boss man's becoming a flibbertigibbit.

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    5. My Amish in-laws say that credit cards are an instrument of the devil. I'm not sure they're too far off.

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    6. Stanley, when our son moved back to the US 18 months ago, he hadn’t owned a car for 9 years. But he needs one here. He bought a Tesla. There is a model with a relatively low profile, a smallish car, that still had room for three child seats, with a very small, foldable third row. It’s too bad that he didn’t have more choices. He’s not a Musk fan these days!

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    7. Yes, Anne. I ordered a Tesla Model Y 5-seat version which has a 7-seat version. Gave up and tried getting a Chevy Bolt. Couldn't get that either. Ended up with a Toyota hybrid, closest I could get. Gets good mileage and has all the driver stuff which I totally use except for the lane keeping. If it lasts 170,000 miles like my Prius, it may be my last car.

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    8. Electrics are still for rich people. They are expensive, and people who live in apartments often don't have plug-in services. Ditto those of us in older homes that need electrical upgrades. It will take more years than we can probably spare to bring electrics into service such that they will do the climate any good.

      Raber and I have a fuel efficient gas car and try to curtail trips. That's likely the best we can do unless the gummint wants to provide rebates for upgrades and purchases that make electrics affordable.

      I see some mass transit and school buses are going electric, which is a good sign.

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    9. Using feet, or bikes for that matter, is simply not practical or realistic in suburban areas, nor in rural areas. We are a very big country, with lots and lots of space compared to most developed countries. Our population density is about 1/5 of most European countries and Asian countries are even more crowded. We spread out because we could. The young adults like city living, but I have seen the pattern - unless they can afford $20-40k/year/kid for private schools, and a huge amount of $ for a condo that’s big enough for a couple of adults AND a couple of kids, they give up city life for space - in a house, with a yard, a dog, and a decent public school. However, there are also empty nesters and older single adults who move into the city later in life to be closer to amenities, and to be able to walk or take a convenient bus. Or even to be able to catch an affordable Uber or taxi ride.

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    10. We thought about that, too, but I am one step away from a walker even with all the PT, and getting on a bus is impossible. I don't want Raber riding his bike in Lansing. And old people wandering around a city center is hazardous for them and motorists. Some senior apts have amenities like coffee shops and beauty/barber shops on the ground floor. We are looking for that type of thing, but they are $$.

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    11. Electric cars are more practical for cities. There are too few places for charging stations in the more rural areas, and we have to cover a lot of ground sometimes. Some people here have hybrids, and seem to like them. Seems like those are a more likely solution. As are more fuel efficient cars.
      Im trying to like our Chevy Malibu with the stop-start technology. It was a 2018, and most cars made then or after have it. It gets great mileage, especially on the highway. But it is unnerving to pull up to a stop sign and have the thing nearly shut off. It springs into action when you take your foot off the brake, but there is a split second delay. Brings back bad memories of some crappy cars we used to drive that actually did die at stop signs sometimes. I prefer our old Impala, which actually doesn't get bad mileage on the highway, but not so great around town.

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    12. We drove our son’s hybrid from here to LA in Dec 2020. They had something come up in LA unexpectedly so they flew back. They had driven here for a long visit so that the old folk wouldn’t be too isolated. Virtual school, virtual work - why not?

      I liked the car. It got fantastic mileage going across the country, on highways most of the time. We didn’t have to stop for gas - or bathrooms - very often. Gas stations were fairly rare in some places, especially in the southwestern states. I imagine that charging stations aren’t all that common in the really open areas of the country. I’m glad we didn’t have to worry about that! It was still lockdown, and the only open restrooms were at gas stations, and sometimes not even there. We could do drive through at fast food places, but couldn’t go inside to use the restroom.

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    13. Jean, bikes in cities are dangerous. In the DC area there are frequent bike fatalities. Even with the bike lanes squeezed in between sidewalks, street parking, and car lanes, it’s dangerous. But the accident investigations in the DC area show that about 85% of the accidents are due to the bicyclist ignoring the traffic rules. I have no desire to hit a bicyclist even if it’s not my fault. What a horrible experience. I really hate that they’ve put those bike lanes on such heavily traveled city streets. This isn’t Europe, and they need to rethink some of the idealism that isn’t always practical. It doesn’t even always work in Europe except when entire toads are bike only. When my son lived in England, in a smallish city, he was hit by a bus that turned a corner and didn’t see him in time. Thankfully only bruises and some stitches. A cousin’s son was hit by a truck and killed when he was biking to his teaching job in Edinburgh Scotland. A different cousin’s teen age son was hit by a car and killed when he was delivering newspapers in his suburb in Pennsylvania. Bikes and cars don’t mix well.

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    14. I remember beautiful soprano Susan Davenny Wyner losing her voice after being struck by a car while riding a bike in NYC. The main problem is the cars. They overwhelm everything. In an auto-free zone, small electric vehicles, public and private, can solve the problem for people with mobility limitations. I rented a stick shift car my first visit to Germany. After that, public transport, so enjoyable and relaxing. Heaven.

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    15. Sharing roads can be very scary. I used to bicycle a lot around Lake Pymatuning where we had our cabin. Most of the roads were in State Parks or in cabin allotments. They were safe because there were few cars, and the cars were generally going at a slow speed. However, having to go out on public roads between parks where there were high-speed cars was scary.

      Shared bicycle and pedestrian roads can also be dangerous. Sometimes when I am walking on the service roads of the Metroparks around here bicyclists will startle me when they come up from behind. Some signal by voice they are going to past, but others don't.

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  3. Off topic, but Happy All Saints/All Souls, my favorite feast days. We are surrounded always by our friends in Heaven who love us and want to help us live others.

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    1. Ah, Jean. You are so blessed to really believe that there are friends in heaven who love us!

      This IS one of my favorite days, though, because it’s our youngest son’s birthday.

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    2. Happy birthday to your son! It is a good day to have a birthday.

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    3. Happy All Saints Day to all. We were fortunate to find a virtual mass today. Our usual locations for Sunday Mass, Notre Dame and the National Shrine, were not being virtual. I guess they are following the parish decline in celebrating Holy Days. However, our Benedictine friends at Saint Meinrad moved their morning Mass to the 10:30 am Sunday Mass time so we did not have to get up early.

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    4. YouTube has scads of litanies of the saints in English and Latin. I like the Latin ones, because that's the language of all my favorite saints.

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    5. Jean, would you be able to copy a link for your favorite version of Litany of the Saints? I think I am going to add some links to my All Saints post for additional songs for the day.

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    6. I used this one today. It's a bit longer with more saints: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=FvdB-_VVF-M

      This is the one I frequently do in the evenings, which is my favorite: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=FvdB-_VVF-M

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    7. Thanks Katherine. It’s actually my son with a birthday today. ;) He’s wonderful, but not really a saint! Yet….

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  4. Unrelated, please say a prayer for my younger son and one of the daughters in law who both tested positive for Covid. So far they aren't doing too badly but it is worrisome. They and the grandkids had all gotten together Friday evening and the Covid showed up yesterday and today. So far it's only two of them. We weren't there, which is good.

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    1. Prayers ascending. For all of us - it’s still out there. We are scheduled to get the bivalent booster today.

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    2. Yes, it is very worrisome when your kids get sick, but they have their age working for them. Hope they will recover quickly.

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    3. Yes. Prayers for their health. I know many people of all ages getting and getting over COVID. They just keep coming now. They all seem to be doing well.

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  5. Back to Musk: The Washington Post reports that he is floating the idea of a $20 (or maybe lower) member fee to verified accounts "to pay the bills" and reduce bot accounts.

    Ay yi yi.

    People don't want to start paying for stuff they got free unless there's value added. And, as novelist Stephen King pointed out, it's the verified users like him who bring the audience and attract advertisers. "They should be paying me," he said, and he has a point.

    So much for Musk's vaunted business acumen.

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    1. Part of me says, do it. I don't think most people will consider Musk "value added". It's unclear if the $20 would be yearly or monthly. Make it monthly and really tank the membership. Yeah he's a business genius.

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    2. Is it still "free speech" if you have to pay for it?

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