Thursday, September 26, 2019

Mr. McGuire Goes to the House UPDATE

Watching the House Intelligence Committee hearings with Acting DNI Joseph McGuire was instructive and disturbing. It brought full-force, at least to my attention, the trap in which our political leaders and our political system is caught.

Some observations:

1. Acting director DNI McGuire, a recently retired military officer, appears to be a person of integrity and of patient good humor. But as “acting,” he was only a few days into the job when the whistle blower document landed on his desk. His initial actions—consulting the White House counsel and the Justice Dept. and AG Barr—can be explained perhaps by his “military” mind set and his first days in office. But as several Democrats argued, this was unfortunate and unethical. Speaker Nancy Pelosi at a press conference implied that his actions could be subject to legal action. McGuire did his best to explain, sometimes to defend his actions and sometimes to defer a direct answer. Obviously he could never now be confirmed in office, even in the unlikely event of Trump nominating him. 

Yet given this unique “orientation,” to the job and the ways of Washington, he might make an astute head of the national intelligence office in the Trump era. Instead, he has been trapped in the Trump penchant for making every appointment an “acting” so that he or she is dependent on him.

2. Grand-standing by members of both parties reinforces the image of self-serving (and pompous) careerist. By approaching their responsibilities to either defend Trump or attack him, many House members made spectacles of themselves, especially those whose prosecutorial skills hyped the temperature without adding to information or insight. Most are behaving for the benefit of a partisan media and their own next election campaign. If they thwart the obvious thrust of their opponents questioning of McGuire, so much the better. What a show of character to pass on his or her turn for a House member to say, thank you, Mr. Chairman, my questions have already been asked.

And yet, they too are trapped in appearing to be-in-the-know and on top of the issues. The “evidence”—an unofficial transcript and the whistleblowers actual charges—appeared within a day and an hour of the hearing, House Members could hardly have had time to absorb the information much less consult with others better versed in “intelligence” lingo and rules, to say nothing of ethics.

3. Mueller’s Report was mentioned in passing; perhaps it  seemed to have no immediate import for McGuire’s testimony. Yet, what we know so far about Trump and Ukraine is very much in the train of Mueller’s findings and conclusions. Trump as candidates and as president surrounds himself with willing accomplices. Whether he asks them to break the law or whether he knows they are upending norms and breaking the law, they participate in the Trump bubble, a culture of lying, cheating, exaggeration, and breaking the law. Trump and his entourage are willing and able, even enabled, to break the norms that keep our political system intact and functioning so long as the House of Representatives misses the mark and fails to connect the dots, intelligently and persuasively--at least enough to boot Trump from office, or failing that to keep him from a second term.

UPDATE: A little known factoid: Joseph Maguire and the man scurrying around doing Trump's bidding, Rudolf Giuliani, are both graduates of Manhattan College in NYC--a Christian Brothers school. 

22 comments:

  1. #3 Yes, connecting the dots--Trump's evils are many and cumulative. It isn't one thing. I sense that this will be better addressed in the 2020 campaign (because of #2, posturing and grandstanding in committee).

    I don't see the preoccupation with impeachment helping anyone but Trump, frankly. He has "achievements" he can tout. Democrats will have, "We took back the House and did nothing but investigate and fail to impeach Trump while immigration, environmental, and social issues were ignored."

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  2. Sorry, I had to miss the testimony. If I'd had the time, though, Parliament these days is much the better spectacle. However, from what I've read and NPR's extensive dissection of the testimony, I can't see why Rudy isn't in prison. Well, I can, considering who is attorney general, but I still can't believe Rudy isn't headed for one of those perp walks he used to famously stage.

    The printed word, as released by the White House (and it appears there is a real transcript, not just notes, of the phone calls somewhere) reads like a script from The Sopranos. It's plainly extortion. No doubt it is standard business procedure for the Trump organization, but it is surprising to hear Republicans say so. Some clown from Tennessee was defending extortion because the Democrats were mean to Mr. Trump from the start.

    Jim has a problem because his Party of Business is willing to equate Mafia models to normal family business. And I have a problem because my party is brain dead. But in this case, the walking dead may have stumbled into a new low that could prove successful. The usual routine (established by Nixon) is that the presidential candidate takes the high road, and the vice president roughs up the opponents. Now the Ds can let their committees do the VP candidate's job and both can talk about ... oh, no, policies and programs won't be covered by the media anyway. It will be all Trump impeachment all the time.

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    1. Yes, nothing like the Brexit Parliament to distract. Things were a bit in the weeds there yesterday and the House Hearing looked a bit more lively. Curious that Borish Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn are almost equally unappealing.

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  3. I realize that speaking engagements for banquets, etc. are scheduled months in advance. But Nancy Pelosi didn't do herself any favors by keeping this one last night. It was the NARAL Pre-Choice America 50th Anniversary Dinner. We're smack in the middle of a probable impeachment proceeding. Public opinion is shifting, and even many Republicans are reluctantly concluding that Trump has gone a bridge too far. So what does the Speaker do but remind everyone that the Democrats are the party of abortion. She didn't say that, but her presence there said it. And voters edging toward swinging to voting Democratic because we have to get rid of Trump and his minions, just had it thrown in their face that the NARAL, and the like, own the party.

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    1. Aargh, fumble-finger typing. "Pre-Choice" above should be "pro-choice"

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  4. I have always thought and hoped we would be saved from Trump by the people who actually do the work of government. Two profiles in today's NYTimes proves the point. Maguire who testified yesterday and Marie Yovanovitch, the former ambassador to Ukraine, fired by Trump, are two edifying examples. The CIA agent said to be the whistleblower may be another, if he survives the Trump mafia.

    Joseph Maguire
    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/26/us/politics/joseph-maguire-intelligence.html?searchResultPosition=1

    Marie Yovanovitch
    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/26/us/politics/yovanovitch-trump-ukraine-ambassador.html

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  5. Good piece on the Lawfare blog makes the point that impeachment is not prosecution for crime, and vice versa. (This answers one of the Florida Congressmen who said today that "no one" has shown him the law Trump broke. Apparently Trump legalized extortion the same way he says he can amend the Constitution -- by executive order.)

    Lawfare's (Alan Rozenshtein) point:
    "The question is not whether Trump broke federal criminal law. The question is whether he has failed to uphold his constitutional duties and should be impeached and removed from office.
    ...
    " The law is one of the few American institutions remaining with a claim to legitimacy, which it maintains by virtue of its neutrality. But it shouldn’t be the only standard by which presidents are judged. The purpose of the criminal law is to decide who goes to jail; the question of what counts as a “high crime and misdemeanor” is meant to determine when a chief executive is no longer fit for office...."

    ttps://www.lawfareblog.com/dont-over-legalize-impeachment?utm_source=The+Marshall+Project+Newsletter&utm_campaign=e5b9035f43-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_09_27_11_27&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_5e02cdad9d-e5b9035f43-171823517

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  6. I am puzzled by the Republicans who are circling the wagons around Trump, not willing to admit that he can do any wrong. They do realize, don't they, that if Trump is removed from office, or resigns (fat chance), that Pence assumes the office? The Democrats still aren't in control, there'd have to be an election for that to happen. That is unless Pence goes down too, then the Speaker of the House is president. Of course the thought of a President Pelosi would cause them to pitch an embolism. But the chances of that are extremely remote, Pence hasn't been implicated in the skullduggery.

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  7. There has been some interesting advanced analysis (wholly theoretical) about what Republican Senators would do if the House voted impeachment and each Senator would have to vote yea or nay. Some might actually decide to vote yea because they thought Trump should go. Others might vote yea because they'd be taken for the supine lackeys they are. And of course some might vote nay because they are true believers in Trump's politics, such as they are. For example, Susan Collins; this morning I posed that question to the Other Half. He thought she'd wait to see how the vote was going and only vote yes if there was enough cover from other Republicans. So it goes. Of course, what if Mitch McConnell refuses to bring it to the floor. Is that possible?

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    1. Two years ago I would have said it is impossible for a Senate majority leader to exercise a pocket veto on a President's nomination to the Supreme Court. But then that happened. And then Trump was elected. And then he gave Vladimir Putin a spot in his administration. And then he addressed the Boy Scouts and told them how to get rich and have babes on their yachts off the South of France. And then he started exchanging love letters with the dictator of South Korea.

      So, yes. Anything is possible.

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    2. Mitch McConnell needs to be impeached. I know, wishful thinking.

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    3. Susan Collins wrote a scathing piece about Trump prior to the election, and voted to retain the ACA. However she did vote for Kavanaugh, and she is up for re-election.

      There are four GOP senators calling it quits in 2020. They have nothing to lose by voting yea. Neither do Trump-antagonists like Mitt Romney, who are not up for re-election. I like to think they're talking about eventualities. After all, it's not like policy would change much with Pence in charge, but Pence is not insane.

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    4. "...it's not like policy would change much with Pence in charge, but Pence is not insane." That's why I don't understand what seems like the blind loyalty to Trump. I do sort of get the ones that put up with him because they get their Republican way. But Pence would be unlikely to change that playbook. However I think they are pretty sure he would lose in 2020.

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    5. Re: "...what if Mitch McConnell refuses to bring it to the floor...?" This was on HuffPost this evening: "The Republican leadership issued a memo Saturday clarifying that the Senate must take action if the House of Representatives approves articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump. The statement came in response to concerns that the Senate could simply refuse to hold a trial."

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    6. Margaret, we might find out. All's I know about the guy is that he used to be a Catholic but aligns with conservative evangelicals on social issues and has some pet rabbits.

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    7. Katherine, I think blind loyalty to Trump is really denial for some of these people. If you look at people like Chuck Grassley, who have good bipartisanship records, they tell themselves that, somehow, underneath the boorish, deceitful behavior and pandering to cultural stereotypes, the guy is doing the right things for business. And they have never cared much about social issues except homosexuality, abortion, prayer in school, and flag burning. Trump throws them all the right bones in those issues.

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    8. I'm sure the more standard Republican politicians are afraid of retaliation from the googly-eyed members of the Trump cult. A lot of people who voted for them voted for Trump. The believers would be unlikely to shift allegiance to Pence if the Reality TV star were to be evicted from the White House.

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  8. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/sep/27/dan-coats-dni-trump-firing-ukraine

    The plot thickens...The Guardian (no pay wall!) has this about Dan Coates removal from the job that Joseph Maguire took on and found the whistleblower fracas land on his desk.
    Was Coates onto the Ukraine phone call and fired? It sounds like that's what happened to his deputy, Sue Collins.

    I think we are going to see stories emerge about the Resistance, which may have been building, but went public with the whistleblower complaint. In fact, here's a speculation the complaint is a collective effort to make Trump's real "foreign policy" public and the "CIA agent" is the work of several inside Intelligence people, and maybe even some insiders at the White House.

    Maybe I am reading too many espionage novels...

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/sep/27/dan-coats-dni-trump-firing-ukraine

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  9. Unfortunately this *is* going to hurt Biden. Which isn't fair, because that's exactly what Trump set out to do. All the reason more to impeach him.

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    1. Agree. A long story today in the Washington Post goes at this...what was missing, I think, was info about why young Biden was invited on the board in the first place. Did they hope to get to the VP through him?

      Of Course, Ivanka was making all sorts of deals in China at the beginning of the Administration. And the Chinese seemed to go along. Bad bet?
      https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/the-gas-tycoon-and-the-vice-presidents-son-the-story-of-hunter-bidens-foray-in-ukraine/2019/09/28/1aadff70-dfd9-11e9-8fd3-d943b4ed57e0_story.html

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    2. Linked in the WaPo article (if it's the same one I read) was a lengthy New Yorker article about Hunter Biden. Who, in spite of not having done anything illegal with the Ukraine thing, is a hot mess.

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