There have been a spate of articles lately bringing up the subject of Biden's Age, and fears that he can't beat Trump in the general election. They make the point that we can't depend on a "deus ex machina" or a unicorn to beat Trump. And then they trot a unicorn out of the barn, like this one: To Beat Trump, Democrats Need a Whitmer-Warnock Ticket (thebulwark.com). According to this, Joe Biden should just announce that he's not running in 2024, and kick Kamala Harris to the curb. And the Dems could run Whitmer with Warnock as her running mate, and with their youthful vigor and freshness, they would easily defeat Trump. Never mind that neither of these people have shown any interest in running in 2024. Neither have they raised any funds to do so.
Thursday, August 31, 2023
Wednesday, August 30, 2023
More Dirty Tricks Regarding Abortion by Ohio Republicans
Ohio Board Sued For Approving 'Politicized, Deceptive' Language In Abortion Measure
Tuesday, August 29, 2023
Pope Francis: gay persons are welcome in the church
In a meeting with Portuguese Jesuits earlier this month, Francis went much farther than "Who am I to judge?", stating plainly that gay people, including those who are not living celibate lives, should be welcome in the church.
Friday, August 25, 2023
Funerals, Wakes, and The Office of the Dead
Be With Me Lord
This is Holy Ground
O Breathe On Me
Sacred Silence
I The Lord
EVENING PRAYER
MORNING PRAYER
Thursday, August 24, 2023
Quick thought on the Republican debate Wednesday evening
Wednesday night, I did something I very rarely do: I turned on Fox News. Eight Republican presidential contenders debated one another in Milwaukee. Donald Trump, whose polling numbers reportedly are higher than the eight's combined, didn't attend. Instead, the ex-prez did an interview with Tucker Carlson on X (formerly Twitter) which, according to one update I saw, had at least 75 million hits, or viewers, or however they measure such things. So considering that most Democrats find Republicans on television to be unwatchable, and most of the GOP faithful apparently was watching their hero, I may have been the only one watching Fox.
I took it for the entire two hours. And in a way, it was pretty interesting. Because it turns out that, when Trump isn't in the room, the rest of the field was...normal. Kind of. Mostly.
The insta-analysts presumably will tell us that DeSantis emerged unscathed, Pence had a pretty good night, and it became evident why Vivek Ramaswamy is climbing in some polls. I thought Nikki Haley and maybe even Doug Burgum(!) acquitted themselves pretty well.
But here's the thing: with the notable exception of Ramaswamy, who has no government experience and shares Trump's penchants for rhetorical bomb-throwing and riding roughshod over political norms, most of the other candidates were within the guardrails we used to expect of a conventional conservative. On the whole, they expressed fairly conventionally conservative views. For example: they were asked whether Mike Pence did his Constitutional duty on January 6, 2021. It was a little hard to tell in the moment, but I think all the candidates agreed, some more enthusiastically than others. They all attacked the Biden administration, which is what one would expect of a conventional conservative candidate who is not distracted by culture war issues. I believe all of them self-identified as pro-life, and within that consensus, there was a variety of opinions and approaches as to what the party's pro-life policy should be, with one or two suggesting a national abortion ban after 15 weeks. They all came out in favor of stronger border controls, and against progressive education policies. It wasn't exactly taking a time machine back to 2012, but the zaniness of the last 8-9 years was relatively muted.
Even without Trump's presence, there were some populist instincts on display; for good or ill, Trump has reset the GOP's orbit in a more populist direction. There was definitely a contingent that wants us to limit or cut off aid to Ukraine. There was some pretty harsh rhetoric about border control. And there were some negative invocations of Black Lives Matter and Critical Race Theory.
But taken as a whole, it gives one hope that somewhere, perhaps not even buried too deeply, the GOP can present itself as a fairly normal conservative political party.
But - we must remind ourselves that this crew is polling a cumulative 40% or something similar. The GOP voters are still smitten with Trump.
Tuesday, August 22, 2023
Move aside, Carrington, here comes Miyake!
You folks may remember my posting about the Carrington Event of 1859. A solar flare caused a rare coronal mass ejection (CME) of great intensity. The plasma interacted with the magnetic field of the earth, causing it to collapse to the point it acted like a generator. The only extensive electrical infrastructure of the time, the telegraph, generated high voltages that fried the equipment in some cases, powered the lines without batteries in other places. If that happened today, it could fry our electrical grid, destroying hard to replace transformers, shutting down our modern civilization for months if not a year or two. It could result in mass starvation. Astronomer Richard Carrington made the connection between the strange events of 1859 and the observed solar storm.
But the good news is that we can spot the CME tthree days ahead of its arrival, shutting down systems to minimize damage (if the Republicans don't pooh-pooh it). Light travels at 186,000 miles per second and gets here in eight minutes. CME's travel at a sluggish 1,000,000 miles per hour so it takes 90 hours to get here. We also have solar observation satellites. So I was starting to relax about future Carrington Events until ........
https://bigthink.com/hard-science/miyake-event-worse-carrington-event/
Now there's Miyake events. Japanese woman astronomer Fusa Miyake analyzed tree rings from a chopped down 1900 year-old Japanese tree. She found that certain rings in that tree have higher Carbon-14 content, generated by doses of radiation from space100X higher than a Carrington Event. They tool place in the eighth and tenth centuries. Subsequent studies using other methods show several events over the last 10,000 years at an average rate of once per millenium. The good news is that it may be several smaller events over a year or two. Still bad but not as devastating as a single 100X Carrington. Such radiation in a single pulse would be fatal to plane travelers at high altitude. The bad news is that they have no idea where these high energy particle pulses originate. It could be the sun. In that case, we might have enough warning to deal with it like a Carrington Event. But if the origin is a neutron star or the galactic core, we'd have no way to know it was coming. So it's a point of interest for further study. Long power lines from big utilities are great but very vulnerable. This is another advantage to local solar power and windmills. With a little EMP hardening, they would probably survive a Carrington or even a Miyake.
Since it involves tree rings, the climate change deniers probably won't believe this one either.
Monday, August 21, 2023
Unity among people
This is my homily for this past weekend, the 20th Sunday in Ordinary Time, Cycle A. The Sunday readings are here.