Wednesday, October 30, 2024

STATISTA On Halloween


by Florian Zandt,
 Oct 30, 2024
After hitting a record high in 2023, U.S. consumer spending for Halloween items like candy, decorations and costumes is expected to drop by $600 million to $11.6 billion, according to data from the industry group National Retail Federation (NRF). Despite the decrease, this still marks the second-highest expected spending in the past decade. While the coronavirus pandemic was responsible for the most recent drop before the 2024 Halloween season, growth had been stagnant before the novel virus' impact on public and social life around the world.

For example, after consumer spending increased by $2.2 billion between 2015 and 2017, 2018 and 2019 saw drops of $100 million and $200 million, respectively, compared to the previous year. So while the implementation of social distancing rules was certainly one cause for the drop of $800 million or ten percent in comparison with 2019, the industry had been bracing for decline for some time before the pandemic.

Zooming in on what U.S. residents are spending their money on shows most will go towards costumes and decorations. Additional NRF data indicates that overall consumers in the United States will allocate $3.8 billion each in both categories, with candy coming in second at $3.5 billion. The greeting card industry, however, will hardly profit from Halloween, with approximately $500 million spent on this specific type of Halloween item.

Infographic: Halloween Spending Expected To Fall Short of 2023 Record | Statista You will find more infographics at Statista


by Katharina Buchholz,
 Oct 28, 2024

Trick-or-treating has been associated with Halloween celebrations in the U.S. and Canada since the early 1900s, but traditions of children going door to door in a quest for treats exist in many parts of the world, with one European custom being widely recognized as the precursor of the North American tradition.

As far back as the Middle Ages, people in the British Isles dressed up for holidays and went from door to door performing scenes in order to receive a thank-you in the form of food and drink. The tradition is preserved today in Scotland and Ireland under the name guising and features dressed-up children rather than theater displays. The origin of Halloween, celebrated on October 31, also goes back to Celtic traditions, more specifically the Samhain festival, which marked the beginning of winter and a time when fairies and spirits needed to be appeased. Like many Christian holidays, All Saints' Day (November 1) and its eve, All Hallows' Day, coincide with the pagan festival and trick-or-treating is done in Portugal on the first day of November. All Saints' Day also has a big significance in Mexico (celebrated as Day of the Dead there) but U.S. Halloween traditions have also been adopted, most heavily in the Northern and Central parts of the country, where the custom is named calaverita (litte skull) after the sugar skulls which are gifted for the festival.

But scary dress and trick-or-treating antics are not tied to a single date: Scandinavian children engage in them around Easter, while those in Northern Germany and Southern Denmark pick New Year's Eve. In Southern Germany, Austria Switzerland, the Netherlands and Flanders in Belgium, treats are given out not for threats, but for songs, which children perform on November 11 (St. Martin's Day). Caroling for sweets is also performed during Ramadan in Central Asia. This is where trick-or-treating blends into Christmas caroling, which is sometimes also rewarded with food offerings, for example in Eastern Europe. The practice is associated most closely with England and the United States, but involves adults as well as children and more commonly the collection of money, for example for charity.


Infographic: Trick-or-Treat Around the World | Statista You will find more infographics at Statista

Friday, October 25, 2024

Should the US Catholic Church speak out against Donald Trump?

In a recent post that touched on the quadrennial document "Forming Consciences for Faithful Citizenship" from the United States Conference of Catholic Bishops, it was noted that the Faithful Citizenship document does not address the issue of the Donald Trump-led GOP's threats to democracy and the nation's Constitutional order.  At a time when many concerned candidates, public figures and citizens are speaking out against the attempts to overthrow the 2020 election and the risk that further attempts could be made in the wake of this year's presidential election, the US bishops' main teaching document is silent.

But other national bishops' conferences have not been so reticent about threats to democracy in their own countries.  In a New York Times article, Harvard political science professors Steven Levitsky and Daniel Ziblatt give examples of bishops speaking out against anti-democratic movements.  The article is entitled (perhaps provocatively), "There Are Four Anti-Trump Pathways We Failed to Take.  There Is a Fifth."  

As the authors explain,  

We have been studying democratic crisis and authoritarianism for 30 years. Between the two of us, we have written five books on those subjects. We can think of few major national candidates for office [besides Donald Trump] in any democracy since World War II who have been this openly authoritarian...

We spent the last year researching how democracies can protect themselves from authoritarian threats from within. We have found five strategies that pro-democratic forces around the world have employed. None offer foolproof protection (no democracy could enjoy foolproof protection and remain a democracy), and some of them come with important drawbacks. But our research suggests that in the face of imminent extremist threats, these strategies are the best available.

The authors then discuss the five strategies for protecting democracies from authoritarians.  For purposes of this post, I'll focus on the fifth strategy, but the other four are worth considering as well:

Thursday, October 24, 2024

PEW: What are the keys to living a fulfilling life?

 Recently Statista made an infographic out of a portion of this recent PEW survey on the future of the family.  I have posted it, and my analysis of the PEW data in tabular form on my LAKE COUNTY OHIO WEAL site:


Here is my table of the basic findings which I think is much better than the Statista graphic because it summarizes the Somewhat and Not too/Not at all categories.

Percent saying each of the following is important in order to live a fulfilling life

 

Extremely, Very

Somewhat

Not too/Not at all

Having a Job or career  that they enjoy

71

25

4

Having close friends

61

29

10

Having children

26

33

42

Having a lot of money

24

49

27

Being married

23

33

44

Share of respondents who did not offer an answer is not shown


For myself I would agree that "having a job or career that I enjoy" and "having close friends" are both extremely important. I would include my parents as life-long close friends. 

Being neither married nor having children I would also agree that they are not too important.  However I think there is a missing category that I think is extremely important "growing up in a healthy nurturing family" 

"Having a lot of money" depends upon what that means. I think of myself as having "sufficient money" i.e. I own my own home and have a decent retirement. It has been easy to live within my salary, retirement plan, and savings.  I would rate "sufficient money" as being very important. However, if having a lot of money means dining out much of the time, taking vacations around the world, having a larger home than I need in a wealthier neighborhood, buying a new car every 3-5 years rather than every 10 years, I would say that is not at all important. 

The "Not too/Not at all" statistics on "having children" and "being married" tells me that the future of the family is bleak. Evidently there are a lot of married people out there with children who don't think either has contributed much to living a fulfilling life!!!  

Monday, October 14, 2024

Bulletin material from the USCCB: Catholics Care. Catholics Vote.


The publication pasted above, from the United States Conference of Catholic Bishops (USCCB), appeared in last weekend's edition of our parish bulletin as a two-page spread.  I admit I don't read our bulletin every single week as assiduously as I probably should, but in my 30+ years in the parish, I don't recall previously seeing anything in the bulletin that was as explicit about connecting particular issues with our duty as citizens to vote.

The image above may be too small to read as-is, although it seems if you click on it, it may pop up in a window that is large enough to read - at least that's the case in my environment (I read the blog in Google on a Wintel laptop).  If you're interested in seeing the original, it's here at the USCCB website: 

https://www.usccb.org/issues-and-action/faithful-citizenship/parishes-and-schools/upload/catholics-care-catholics-vote-bulletin-insert.pdf

Below the break, I'll retype some of the content, and then offer a few comments.

Sunday, October 13, 2024

All the way in

This is my homily for today, the 28th Sunday in Ordinary Time, Cycle B.  Today's readings are here.

MORE LEVY: Moderate Drinking, Depression

If you like graphs, you can read this article in its original form on the Gallup website:

Alcohol Consumption Increasing Viewed as Unhealthy in the U.S.

Young adults aged 18 to 34 are leading the charge to drink less for better health



Or if you like articles outlined in tables you can read the version on my website:


At work I had software (SPSS) that easily churned out tables, but did not easily turn it into graphics.  I find tables a handy way to express data found in graphs in copy protected publication since you cannot copyright facts only their expression. Also sometimes I can produce better tables that the original article. 

What I find that is interesting in this article is that the notion of moderate drinking is being rejected. Ideas such a glass of wine a day is good for your health.  It also appears that this rejection is occurring even for people who have not read recent literature that tells them that a drink or two a day is not good for your health.

And the leaders in this great change are aged 18-34 which includes a lot of people in college. Well maybe they were always weekend drinkers. Maybe they have seen or experienced a lot of the negative consequences of daily alcohol consumption.  It is interesting that their advice to others is to cut down on drinking rather than giving it up completely. So that allows for weekend parties.

Finally, it is interesting that a lot of this change occurring the pandemic. Was it because going to bars and restaurants was dangerous?  Was it because hiding your drinking was not easy if you had to drink at home?  Or that drinking at home interfered with working at home?

Friday, October 11, 2024

Top 12 Causes of Death by Age Group UPDATED

 UPDATE

I decided to add into the discussion a related post on suicides in the US Military


Brief Summary

Nearly half of those serving in the U.S. military have contemplated suicide since joining the forces, according to the Iraq and Afghanistan Veterans of America (IAVA) Members 2022 report. This is a huge jump up from the nine percent that said they had thought about taking their own life before signing up.

To put this into context, estimates currently put the figure of suicides among active duty personnel and veterans of the post 9/11 wars at 30,177 - a high number, especially when considering that 7,057 U.S. service members were killed in war operations in that time.

In the blog that I am developing for a Lake County Ohio Commonweal Local Community, I am putting together posts relevant to Mental Health since we have a Mental Health Levy on the ballot for November. This one is on suicide.


I found statistics on most common causes of death were a very interesting way of looking at things, not only for suicide but also for preventable accidents as well as COVID.

Wednesday, October 9, 2024

Lake County Mental Health Levy UPDATED

UPDATED. I HAVE ADDED TO THE BOTTOM OF THIS POST AN ADDITIONAL LINK TO A WEAL POST ON COST AS A BARRIER TO MENTAL HEALTH TREATMENT SINCE COST AND AVAILABILITY HAVE ARISEN AS ISSUES IN OUR DISCUSSION.


Lake County Ohio has a renewal mental health levy on the ballot this November. It does not raise tax rates. Usually, the renewals are put on the off-year ballots.  The more civic conscience voters tend to vote then and are more likely to be for levies. Usually, these levies are put on the ballot a year before they expire, just in case.  Usually, the percentage of votes "for" are in the low fifties. A lot of people are looking for ways to cut their property taxes.


Go to the post on my Lake County Ohio Weal blog 


Saturday, October 5, 2024

The Current British Empire of Tax Havens

New analysis by the Tax Justice Network has revealed the United Kingdom to be the biggest enabler of corporate tax dodging in the world.  Betty and I were both shocked!

Statista has the infographic in my following post on the Weal Blog that I am developing to foster a Virtual Commonweal Community in Lake County Ohio. (More about that in the coming days)

The Nations Who are Enabling Tax Dodging

 The infographic is followed by a link to an example of how this works.

 Then I give a link to the actual report followed by a summary about what it is about.

 You may also find this related post on my Lake County Weal Blog relevant:

Where Wealth is Concentrated

Only 20 percent of the world’s population lives in the Global North. Despite this, nearly 70 percent of all private wealth, and 74 percent of the world's billionaire wealth, is concentrated there. The five richest billionaires today, according to Forbes, are LVMH chief Bernard Arnault, Amazon’s Jeff Bezos, investor Warren Buffet, Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison and Tesla CEO Elon Musk.

According to the report, as many as seven in ten of the world’s biggest companies are run by a billionaire, or have a main shareholder who is a billionaire. Huge corporations are winning out too, as Oxfam’s analysts explain: “the biggest firms experienced an 89 percent leap in profits in 2021 and 2022. New data shows that 2023 is set to shatter all records as the most profitable yet. Eighty-two percent of these profits are used to benefit shareholders, who are overwhelmingly among the richest people in every society.”

Since Anne knows a lot about the world economy and has also spent time on the ground in the UK, I will be interested in her thoughts on this.


Thursday, October 3, 2024

Award Winning Books, Then and Now

The finalists for the National Book Awards were recently announced. I always take a look at readers' comments. Here are the top two "Reader Picks" from comments in the New York Times. I am adding one additional comment that I found interesting

[58 Recommendations] These nominees used to suggest next reads for me. Now they prompt me to just stay away.

[46 Recommendations] Alas, nobody takes these awards seriously these days, and least of all in the publishing industry. The arbiters of social justice, and those running in fear of it, aren't doing awardees any favors in the end. A debased currency won't buy reputation. If only we were as activist in questions of class and finance -- who has money and who doesn't -- as we are in the arts. Of course, the finance program would require sacrifices by persons who actually have money, rather than the vicarious ones which consumers and arts administrators insist on in the arts, and which someone else will pay for, in the form of obscurity and penury.

[26 Recommendations] It's vital to learn about other cultures and other ways of living, and we all benefit from reading challenging fiction, but it's as important for a great number of people to see themselves analyzed and reflected by a thoughtful, intelligent author. There may be 35-year-old versions of John Cheever, John Updike, Mary McCarthy, Philip Roth, Kurt Vonnegut, Joan Didion, Paula Fox, James Salter, or Patricia Highsmith writing today, but few of them are getting published and recognized.

Those not provided with writing like that of the authors above (and many more) flee to romance novels, thrillers and mysteries, which have their place, but shouldn't be all someone reads. 
It seems like if you want to get published today and you are a normal white person with a name that wouldn't stand out in 1950, forget about it.


Below are the finalists for two categories—fiction and nonfiction. I have annotated them with a few facts about the authors' that were readily available (nationality, "ethnicity," man/woman). Are the readers' comments fair? FWIW, I bought James when it came out, and I just bought Martyr! 


2024 FINALISTS FOR FICTION

’Pemi AgudaGhostroots
Nigerian writer (woman)

Kaveh AkbarMartyr!
Iranian-American poet (man)

Percival Everett, James
African-American novelist (man)

Miranda JulyAll Fours
American filmmaker, writer, and artist (woman)

Hisham MatarMy Friends
Libyan-British author (man)


2024 FINALISTS FOR NONFICTION

Jason De León, Soldiers and Kings: Survival and Hope in the World of Human Smuggling

"De León is a Mexican-Filipino American Army brat . . . . "—Wikipedia (man)

Eliza GriswoldCircle of Hope: A Reckoning with Love, Power, and Justice in an American Church
American journalist and poet (woman)

Kate ManneUnshrinking: How to Face Fatphobia
Australian philosopher (woman)

Salman RushdieKnife: Meditations After an Attempted Murder
Salman Rushdie – British-Indian author (man)

Deborah Jackson TaffaWhiskey Tender
Native American writer (Quechan Nation) (woman)


Just for the sake of nostalgia, here are the National Book Awards winners for 1970-1979

1970  Joyce Carol Oatesthem

1971  Saul BellowMr. Sammler's Planet

1972  Flannery O'ConnorThe Complete Stories

1973  John BarthChimera

1973  John WilliamsAugustus

1974  Doris BettsBeasts of the Southern Wild and Other Stories

1974  Thomas PynchonGravity's Rainbow

1975  Donald BarthelmeGuilty Pleasures

1975  Robert StoneDog Soldiers

1976  William GaddisJ R

1977  Wallace StegnerThe Spectator Bird

1978  Mary Lee SettleBlood Tie

1979  Tim O'BrienGoing After Cacciato